Overall Delinquency Rate Near 20 Year Low

According to the CoreLogic Loan Performance Insights Report, 3.7% of mortgages were in some stage of delinquency (30 days or more past due, including foreclosure) in August 2019.  This represents a 0.2 percentage point decline in the overall delinquency rate compared with August 2018, when it was 3.9%.

As of August 2019, the foreclosure inventory rate was 0.4%, down 0.1 percentage points from August 2018. The August 2019 foreclosure inventory rate tied the prior nine months as the lowest for any month since at least January 1999.

Measuring early-stage delinquency rates is important for analyzing the health of the mortgage market. The rate for early-stage delinquencies (30 to 59 days past due) was 1.8% in August 2019, unchanged from August 2018. The share of mortgages 60 to 89 days past due in August 2019 was 0.6%, unchanged from August 2018. The serious delinquency rate (90 days or more past due, including foreclosure) was 1.3% in August 2019, down from 1.5% in August 2018. This August’s serious delinquency rate of 1.3% was the lowest for the month of August since 2005 when it was also 1.3%. The serious delinquency rate has remained consistent since April 2019.

The nation’s overall delinquency remains near the lowest level since at least 1999. However, five states posted small annual increases in overall delinquency rates in August: Iowa (0.2 percentage points), Minnesota (0.1 percentage points), Nebraska (0.1 percentage points), Wisconsin (0.1 percentage points) and Rhode Island (0.1 percentage points).

“Job loss can trigger a loan delinquency, especially for families with limited savings,” said Dr. Frank Nothaft, chief economist at CoreLogic. “The rise in overall delinquency in Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska and Wisconsin coincided with a rise in state unemployment rates between August 2018 and August 2019.”

“Delinquency rates are at 14-year lows, reflecting a decade of tight underwriting standards, the benefits of prolonged low interest rates and the improved balance sheets of many households across the country,” said Frank Martell, president and CEO of CoreLogic. “Despite this month’s near record-low serious delinquency rate, several metros in hurricane-ravaged areas of the Southeast have experienced higher delinquency rates of late. We expect to see these metros to return to pre-disaster delinquency rates over the next several months.”

Source:  CoreLogic