Posts Tagged ‘subprime’

Subprime Auto Defaults are Soaring

Posted on August 02, 2017 by Laura Lam

It’s classic subprime: hasty loans, rapid defaults, and, at times, outright fraud.  Only this isn’t the U.S. housing market circa 2007. It’s the U.S. auto industry circa 2017.  A decade after the mortgage debacle, the financial industry has embraced another type of subprime debt: auto loans. And, like last time, the risks are spreading as they’re bundled into securities for investors worldwide.  In July, 90-day auto loan delinquency rates eclipsed 3.8%, their highest levels since the financial crisis. Subprime car loans have been around for ages, and no one is suggesting they’ll unleash the next crisis. But since the Great…

Subprime Student Loans Resemble Pre-Crisis Mortgage Loans

Posted on April 28, 2017 by Laura Lam

Millions of U.S. parents have taken out loans from the government to help their children pay for college … now a crushing bill is coming due.  Hundreds of thousands have tumbled into delinquency and default. In the process, many have delayed retirement, put off health expenses and lost portions of Social Security checks and tax refunds to their lender, the federal government. Student loans made through parents come from an Education Department program called Parent Plus, which has loans outstanding to more than 3 million Americans. These loan applications ask almost nothing about its borrowers’ incomes, existing debts, savings, credit…

Consumer Defaults Predicted to Rise in 2017

Posted on April 24, 2017 by Laura Lam

About 17% of all U.S. consumers are likely to default on a loan payment over the next year, according to a recent report from UBS. More interesting, perhaps, is who these defaulters are.  The UBS Evidence Lab reports that the group’s profile is “middle and upper income, younger, male, urban, and concentrated in the coastal regions.” The UBS researchers also found evidence that defaults on auto loans are likely to spread to more non-prime defaults on credit cards and personal loans. About 16% of all auto loans outstanding are subprime, amounting to $179 billion out of total auto loans of…

Banks Rethink Credit Scores as Changes Take Effect

Posted on April 12, 2017 by Laura Lam

Come July, TransUnion, Experian and Equifax will no longer include information about tax liens and civil judgments on a consumer’s record if the data doesn’t include the person’s name, address, Social Security number and date of birth. Many liens and most judgments don’t include all that data, in part because Social Security numbers are often redacted for security reasons. Some consumers could see their credit scores rise with the removal of such black marks. Whether this change is a good thing depends on whom you ask.  Some observers note that tax lien and civil judgment information is sometimes attached to…

Auto Loan Defaults Not Likely to Cause Next Bubble

Posted on April 10, 2017 by Laura Lam

An increase in the delinquency of risky auto loans probably won’t send the U.S. economy into the doldrums the way the mortgage loan crisis did in 2008-09, but it will likely pinch car sales.  Borrowers are falling behind on most subprime car loans, but deep subprime consumers – those with credit scores below 550 – have deteriorated fastest, according to a report by Morgan Stanley. Just like mortgages, many of those loans have been packaged into bonds, “securitized” in Wall Street parlance, and sold across the world to investors searching for yields in the wake of the financial crisis. Car…

Are Automakers Creating the Next Financial Crisis?

Posted on March 06, 2017 by Laura Lam

The country’s auto debt hit a record in the fourth quarter of 2016, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, when a rush of year-end car shopping pushed vehicle loans to a dubious peak of $1.16 trillion. The combination of new car smell and new credit woes stretches from Subarus in Maine to Teslas in San Francisco.  It’s an alarming number, big enough to incite talk of a bubble. On average, every licensed driver in the U.S, owes about $6,100 in car payments. But the market for cars is a lot different than that for houses. Vehicles are a more fluid asset…

Lending Trouble Lies Ahead in 2017

Posted on January 04, 2017 by Laura Lam

Mortgages, commercial-and-industrial loans, subprime auto lending and student lending are ripe for setbacks and, in some cases, crises in 2017.  Here is a breakdown of each of those risk factors, the reasons behind them and the possible upsides or alternative strategies. Mortgages – The refinance market has largely carried the mortgage industry over the past few years because consumers took advantage of historically low rates. Now that the Federal Open Market Committee has raised rates twice in the past year, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury has spiked upward since the presidential election, many expect the refinancing market to nosedive.  “We’ll…

Subprime Borrowers Have Stopped Paying Auto Loans

Posted on December 21, 2016 by Laura Lam

More Americans are behind on their auto loans, which is keeping some banking experts up a night.  Roughly 6 million individuals are at least 90 days late on their car payments. The number of auto loans sinking into delinquency hit their highest level since 2010 in the third quarter, according to data from Federal Reserve Bank of New York researchers. The broader auto loan market remains robust. The total delinquency rates rose by just 3.6% in the third quarter, kept low by loans issued by banks and credit unions. Subprime auto loan delinquencies, in contrast, have worsened significantly in the past few years, rising to levels not…

Has Auto Lending Lost Its Luster?

Posted on November 10, 2016 by Laura Lam

Regulators have been warning about frothy conditions in the market for automobile loans. But things had to hit close to home – shrinking loan yields and rising delinquencies – before bankers really paid attention.  Now, several companies said that they plan to scale back indirect auto lending, citing increased competition and narrowing spreads. Others are reducing exposure by selling off large chunks of auto loans – though those banks insist they remain committed to auto lending. Their moves come at a time when auto lending has reached record highs. The volume of auto loans made by banks, credit unions and…

Americans Fall Behind on Car Loan Payments

Posted on October 19, 2016 by Laura Lam

Subprime borrowers are falling behind on their car loan payments at the highest rate in more than six years, and some bonds backed by these loans are vulnerable to getting downgraded, according to S&P Global Ratings. Competition has spurred lenders to loosen standards and resulted in more delinquencies and default by people with weak credit, the ratings firm said. Subprime borrowers were behind by more than 60 days on about 4.85% of auto loans in August, the highest level since January 2010. The rate was 4.14% in August of last year.  For prime loans, delinquencies in August rose to 0.5% from…