Posts Tagged ‘risk’

Foreclosure Activity Plunges to 11-Year Low

Posted on October 23, 2017 by Laura Lam

Foreclosure activity hit an 11-year low in this year’s third quarter, as an improving economy and stricter mortgage standards helped stabilize the housing market to pre-2008 levels.  ATTOM Data Solutions released a report this week revealing that third-quarter foreclosure activity is down 13% from the previous quarter and 35% from a year ago. The Q3 2017 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report showed a total of 191,824 U.S. properties with foreclosure filings, such as default notices, scheduled auctions or bank repossessions. This determined foreclosure activity in Q3 2017 was 31% below the pre-recession average of 278,912 properties with foreclosure filings per quarter between Q1…

Banks Prepare for Credit Card Defaults

Posted on October 20, 2017 by Laura Lam

Credit card delinquencies increased for three consecutive months, adding to signs that consumers in the U.S. are having a tough time paying their debt.  According to recent reports, credit card data from JPMorgan, Discover Financial Services and Bank of America show that the number of delinquencies is on the rise. The reason for the uptick in the number of people who can’t pay their credit card bills is due to lenders going after consumers with less-than-stellar credit ratings. Although this practice is intended to fuel growth in a low-interest rate environment, the lower credit quality is coming back to bite…

Credit Card Delinquencies on the Rise

Posted on October 18, 2017 by Laura Lam

Credit card delinquency rose for the third straight month in September, data from JPMorgan Chase & Co. and card issuer Discover Financial Services suggested.  The data add to signs that U.S. consumers are struggling amid rising household debt, after bank results last week pointed to an increase in provisions for future losses. September delinquencies for JPMorgan rose 1.22%, while those at Discover Financial were up 1.64% from August. Those at Bank of America also rose 1.56% — the second rise in three months.  Credit quality at several banks appears to be deteriorating as lenders target consumers with worse credit ratings to…

Leasing Delinquencies Remain at Historic Lows

Posted on October 11, 2017 by Laura Lam

Recent statistics from the Federal Reserve validate what leasing professionals have understood about their industry for years. The data reach back to the first quarter of 1985 and underscore the fact that, when it comes to delinquencies and charge-offs, equipment leasing remains one of the best performing sectors under the broader umbrella of commercial finance. According to Bob Rinaldi, CEO of Commercial Industrial Finance, Inc., the most recent data on charge-offs and delinquencies offer no surprises. Rinaldi stated, “There’s nothing in this data that should alarm anyone in the industry…the data points are exactly where they should be. Everything here…

Mortgage Lending Getting Riskier

Posted on October 09, 2017 by Laura Lam

During the second quarter this year, the risk in mortgage lending inched up as the market shifted toward an increased share of investor loans, according to the Q2 2017 Housing Credit Index released by Core Logic.  The index increased to 117 during the second quarter, up a full 20 points from the second quarter last year. However, even after this increase, the credit risk in the second quarter is still within the levels seen from 2001 to 2003, a timeframe that is considered to be a normal baseline for credit risk. The chart shows that while mortgage risk remains at…

Mortgage Fraud Risk on the Rise

Posted on September 28, 2017 by Laura Lam

An estimated 13,404 mortgage applications, representing 0.82% of all applications, filed during the second quarter contained indications of fraud, according to the Mortgage Application Fraud Risk Index released by CoreLogic.  The second-quarter figure is a 16.9% increase from the 12,718 mortgage applications, comprising 0.70% of total applications, that contained indications of fraud recorded in the second quarter of 2016. By state, mortgage application fraud risk was highest in New York, pushing it to overtake Florida as the state with the highest risk. After holding the top spot for the last several years, Florida is now in third after posting a…

Homeowners Continue to Regain Equity

Posted on September 27, 2017 by Laura Lam

Homeowners with mortgages saw an overall gain of $766 billion in their home equity during the second quarter from the year-ago period, or an increase of 10.6%, according to the second-quarter home equity analysis released by CoreLogic.  On average, the year-over-year gain is $12,987 for each homeowner. The biggest increases were seen in Western states as higher home prices drove equity gains. Homeowners in Washington saw average home equity gains of about $40,000, while California homeowners gained an average of $30,000 in home equity. The quarter also posted a year-over-year decrease in the number of homes with negative equity. During the period, 2.8 million homes – representing…

Subprime Auto Defaults are Soaring

Posted on August 02, 2017 by Laura Lam

It’s classic subprime: hasty loans, rapid defaults, and, at times, outright fraud.  Only this isn’t the U.S. housing market circa 2007. It’s the U.S. auto industry circa 2017.  A decade after the mortgage debacle, the financial industry has embraced another type of subprime debt: auto loans. And, like last time, the risks are spreading as they’re bundled into securities for investors worldwide.  In July, 90-day auto loan delinquency rates eclipsed 3.8%, their highest levels since the financial crisis. Subprime car loans have been around for ages, and no one is suggesting they’ll unleash the next crisis. But since the Great…

Rate Hike Prevented 1 Million Americans From Paying Mortgage

Posted on July 25, 2017 by Laura Lam

A new analysis from TransUnion found that 10.6 million Americans could struggle to absorb their increased monthly payments after the Federal Reserve Board raised interest rates in December, however further examination showed only 1 million struggled with being delinquent after the rate hike. TransUnion’s study identified 63 million consumers who carried debts where the minimum monthly payments was tied to the market interest rate, and would be effected by rate hikes. Using its CreditVision aggregate excess payment algorithm, TransUnion found that 10.6 million consumers were at an elevated risk of not being able to absorb the 0.25% rate hike. The average change in monthly payments was an…

Mortgage Risk Hits Highest Level in 2 Years

Posted on July 12, 2017 by Laura Lam

The frequency of defects, fraudulence and misrepresentation in the information submitted in mortgage loan applications increased in May to levels not seen since 2015, according to First American Financial Corp.  The frequency of defects, fraud and misrepresentations increased 2.5% in May, according to the Application Defect Index. This is an increase of 13.7% from the year before. “The Loan Application Defect Index is now reaching levels of risk not seen since 2015,” First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming said. “While risk is growing in both purchase and refinance transactions, it is important to recognize that loan application defect, fraud and misrepresentation…