Posts Tagged ‘housing market’

Housing Affordability May Plummet in 2018

Posted on November 21, 2017 by Laura Lam

During the recent CoreLogic and the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance, Affordability and Supply in the Digital Age conference, CoreLogic Chief Economist Frank Nothaft predicted rising interest rates will cause home prices to rise.  Mortgage interest rates are expected to continue rising over the next couple years as experts predict the Federal Reserve will raise the Federal Funds rate in once more this year in December and up to 4 more times in 2018. As the chart shows, CoreLogic forecasted it will rise to 4.7% by December 2018. Nothaft explained as mortgage interest rates increase throughout 2018, less current homeowners will be motivated…

Americans Waiting for a Bigger Raise

Posted on November 17, 2017 by Laura Lam

The government said that average hourly earnings rose 2.4% over the past 12 months.  That’s a slip from the 2.9% increase reported in September. It remains below the 3% to 3.5% range that many agree is normal in a truly healthy economy.  The last time wages were up more than 3% year-over-year was in April 2009, just as the economy was emerging from the depths of the global banking crisis that fueled the Great Recession. Why have wages remained stagnant even though many other indicators of the job market and broader economy look healthy? Unemployment continues to drop. The housing…

Sales to First-Time Home Buyers Fell 34% in 2017

Posted on November 16, 2017 by Laura Lam

First time homebuyers continue to struggle to enter the housing market amidst limited housing inventory, falling to the fourth lowest level since 1981, according to the National Association of Realtors’ 2017 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers report.  The share of first time homebuyers in the housing market decreased from 35% in 2016 to 34% in 2017. In the 36-year history of NAR’s report, the long-term average of first-time homebuyers rests at 39%. “The dreams of many aspiring first-time buyers were unfortunately dimmed over the past year by persistent inventory shortages, which undercut their ability to become homeowners,” stated NAR…

Are Home Equity Loans Staged for a Comeback?

Posted on November 15, 2017 by Laura Lam

There has been a hint of optimism for home equity lending among bankers this earnings season, but attitudes remain mixed a decade after the housing market crash began.  While home equity lines of credit provided a lift to some bank consumer portfolios, a number of other banks said their home equity businesses had fallen and added little about their future. Industry observers say bankers should take the long view. Home equity lines of credit especially are poised to grow now that home values have been rising for a number of years during the economic recovery.  “If you think about the…

Housing Affordability Still Strong Despite Price Increases

Posted on November 14, 2017 by Laura Lam

Home prices continue to increase, yet affordability actually improved since July, according to the latest Mortgage Monitor report from Black Knight.  As of September, the average homeowner needed 21.4% of their median income to purchase a home. This is actually down from July’s post-recession peak of 21.7% and low by historical standards.  For comparison, an average 24.2% of the median income was required to purchase a home from 1995 to 1999. That increased to 26.2% in the years before the housing boom from 2000 to 2003. Interest rates declined about 40 basis points over the past 6 months, offering the opportunity…

Are Some Cities Close to a Housing Bubble?

Posted on November 07, 2017 by Laura Lam

According to a recent report released by the Urban Institute, with home prices on the rise, some cities are inching closer to a housing bubble.  The Urban Institute explained that in order to determine if the U.S. is in a housing bubble, knowing the reason for the price growth is critical. In order to determine the reason for the price growth, Urban Institute utilized its housing affordability index.  Overall, housing in the U.S. remains very much in the affordable range. The median household can afford a house that is $70,000 more expensive than the median home price today. In 2006,…

Housing Confidence on the Rise; Renters Optimistic

Posted on October 25, 2017 by Laura Lam

The Fannie Mae Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) increased 0.3 points in September to 88.3, matching the all-time high set in June. The rise can be attributed to increases in 3 of the 6 HPSI components. The good time to buy component rose the most month-over-month, with the net share increasing 10 percentage points compared to August. Renter respondents, in particular, buoyed the net good time to buy component, showing a substantial upward change in optimism in September. The net share who reported that now is a good time to sell a home rose 2 percentage points in September and…

Foreclosure Activity Plunges to 11-Year Low

Posted on October 23, 2017 by Laura Lam

Foreclosure activity hit an 11-year low in this year’s third quarter, as an improving economy and stricter mortgage standards helped stabilize the housing market to pre-2008 levels.  ATTOM Data Solutions released a report this week revealing that third-quarter foreclosure activity is down 13% from the previous quarter and 35% from a year ago. The Q3 2017 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report showed a total of 191,824 U.S. properties with foreclosure filings, such as default notices, scheduled auctions or bank repossessions. This determined foreclosure activity in Q3 2017 was 31% below the pre-recession average of 278,912 properties with foreclosure filings per quarter between Q1…

Meet the Next Generation of Homebuyers: Gen Z

Posted on October 13, 2017 by Laura Lam

In its most recent study, Zillow Group examined the newest generation to enter the housing market – Generation Z.  Generation Z is considered to be those born from 1995 to 2010, meaning the oldest in the generation are now 22 years old.  The Zillow Group Report on Consumer and Housing Trends 2017 shows this new generation now makes up more than 21% of the U.S. population, and is the most ethnically and racially diverse generation in our history. They are beginning to enter the housing market – as renters. However, this generation is just as likely as older generations to…

Millennials Over-Extended and Frustrated with Home-Buying Process

Posted on October 04, 2017 by Laura Lam

Millennials poured some $514 billion into the U.S. housing market over the last year as the largest generation of home buyers, Zillow reported.  But new survey data shows their home-ownership aspirations are stymied by affordability issues, frustration with the buying and selling process, and a cutthroat housing market. More than half of young buyers (53%) make multiple offers to buy their first home, and only 2 in 5 millennials (39%) are able to make the recommended 20% or more down payment.  The results of the Zillow Group Report on Consumer Housing Trends 2017 show how the nation’s highly competitive housing…